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China Prophecy (1)

2 January 2010
 

Ever since the ancient times, there were a great number of prophecies emerged in the land of China, among which The Image of Back Massage (推背图) of Tang Dynasty (618 - 907) and The Song of Sesame Pie (烧饼歌) of Ming Dynasty (1368 - 1644), both articulated by emperors' top consultants with a mystical affiliation to Daoism, being the most revered oracle texts throughout history.

The Back Massage, which makes no reference to spiral problems, and The Sesame Pie, that devotes not a single line to Chinese snacks, have offered snapshots of the key political and social events taken place in China over a time span of thousands of years.

From time to time, however, doubts were, and still are, expressed, questioning the authenticity of the texts, partly due to the incredible high accuracy of the predictions, and partly because the metaphorical language they employed, which would only allow a standard human mind to be enlightened by the oracle message after the events.

Some say this is precisely the nature of prophecies and all prophecies are meant to be used as review not preview.

That might be true, but that was only true before November 19, 2006. On that particular day at about 15 minutes to 11pm, a Chinese individual self-identified as liwang3894 posted a short message on Chinese forum tianya.com, titled My Bold Fancy about China’s Future (意淫一下中国的未来).

Although the title of the post is as unimpressive as ancient Massage and Sesame, the content is a departure from the conventional oracle tradition. It uses plain language and assigns a clear cut timeframe when announcing the forecasts.

Of course, some may argue that since Mao Zedong made his prediction of the global situation early last century, the rule of prophecy pronunciation has already been broken. But Mao was such a great figure in history and he might be powerful enough to influence the sequential events or the trend to a certain degree ...

Anyway, back to our humble liwang3894. Liwang3894 doesn't seem to be a towering figure, not yet so far. But liwang3894 dared to be so bold, as well! Therefore immediately after the post appeared online, the audacious prophet was bombarded with rebuke and scorn by the viewers, especially from those in the similar mind frame to Liu Xiaobo, who harbours an irrepressible hatred for his own people and holds a deep contempt towards his own culture for some certain reasons thus cannot stand any outcomes other than to see China to be colonised by the West and Chinese people to be condemned under alien rules.

Nevertheless, three years later, the antagonists quietly disappeared, while a large contingent of followers have appeared to adulate the author as a modern prophet.

Here are some of the predictions by liwang3894 published in 2006 and the events occurred afterwards, we present them to you for your amusement or deliberation:

The Prediction:

2007, China’s economy will keep grow at a high speed. The growth of the property price may slow down. China's first lunar probe Chang'e-1 will be successfully launched.

2007年,中国经济持续保持高增长,房价增长放缓。嫦娥一号绕月探测器成功发射。

The facts:

2007, China’s economy kept grow at a high speed. The growth of the property price did not slow down. China's first lunar probe Chang'e-1 was successfully launched.

The Prediction:

2008, Beijing Olympic Games will be a great success. China shall rank second in the medal tally with 45 gold medals. The Shenzhou spaceship will be launched successfully with first spacewalk by Chinese astronaut. Ma Ying-Jeou will claim victory in Taiwan’s general election.

2008年,北京奥运会成功举办,中国45枚金牌名列奖牌榜第二。神舟7号发射成功,宇航员出仓行走。台湾大选,马英九当选。

The Facts:

2008, Beijing Olympic Games was a great success. China ranked second in the medal tally with 51 gold medals. The Shenzhou spaceship was launched successfully with first spacewalk by Chinese astronaut. Ma Ying-Jeou claimed victory in Taiwan’s general election.

The Prediction:

2009, Direct links in post, transportation and trade will be established between the Mainland and island Taiwan, and we will see a cross-straits economic zone to emerge. Taiwan’s economy shall begin to recover.

2009年,两岸实现三通,结成更紧密贸易区。台湾经济开始复苏。

The Facts:

2009, Direct links in post, transportation and trade were established between the Mainland and island Taiwan, and a cross-straits economic zone has emerged. Taiwan’s economy did not begin to recover.

The Prediction:

2010, Beijing-Shanghai and Beijing-Guangzhou high speed trains will began to run at 300 kilometres per hour. China's foreign exchange reserve will reach $2 trillion. China's GDP will surpass that of Germany and rise to 3rd place in the world GDP ranking.

2010年,京沪,京广高速铁路投入运营。时速300公里。中国外汇储备达20000亿美圆。中国GDP超过德国,位居世界第三。

The Notes:

2007, Beijing-Guangzhou high speed railway began to construct; 2008, Beijing-Shanghai high speed train began to construct. 2009, Beijing-Wuhan high speed railway opened on December 26, with a speed of 350 kilometres per hour, the fastest in the world.

China's foreign exchange reserve reached $2 trillion in 2009. China's GDP has surpassed that of Germany and risen to 3rd place in the world GDP ranking since 2007.

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