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Chinese Population Myth (1)

9 October 2009
 

子规夜半犹啼血, 不信东风唤不回

The following is the English translation of the main points of an online article posted by Tingguang (听光) on wyzxsx.com:

Often when mentioning achievement, many would just follow the West's practice by listing a string of figures representing the various industry productivity. However, in my view, when examining a nation's development, the most critical index should always be the human condition. From this point of view, the first 30 years in the history of the People's Republic of China is indeed outstanding.

Of course, when mentioning human condition, many would follow the West's argument on alleged death figure of 30 million people during the famine in the late 50s and early 60s, but which is nothing but a blatant lie.

In year 2000 census, the figure of population registered as born in 1960 is much higher than that registered in early 1980s. How it could become possible? There is only one explanation here: the population figures recorded in early 80s are wrong, which means, the chief evidence that supports the claim of the 30 million deaths during the famine is corrupted.

According to the figures released from census over the years, the total population in the mainland China doubled from 540 million to more than 970 million between 1949 and 1979. Such a massive increase cannot be achieved through raising birth rate alone in merely 30 years. Thus the main reason for the population growth can only rest on the low death rate, in particular the decrease in infant mortality and the increase of the life expectancy, both heavily relying on the improvement of the healthcare system. In a country with over 80 percent of people living in rural area, the key to accomplish this task is to establish a basic healthcare network covering most villages, which was done in China through a rural cooperative medical service system. Another critical factor that contributes to the doubling of the population in a time frame of a little more than one generation is of reducing premature deaths caused by malnutrition among the general population, which proves that the overall living condition in the first 30 years progressed greatly.

Excerpt of the original article in Chinese:

看一个民族的长远发展,从历史发展的长时期来考察总体人口的数量和质量变化是非常重要的,而个别特殊时期的特殊情况不是这里讨论的重点。比如说,一提到人口问题,有人可能马上又搬出什么三年灾害期间饿死三千万之类的谣言来胡搅蛮缠。其实,对于这个谣言,2000年的人口普查数据已经击破这个谣言了,其中最雷人的地方就是,2000年人口普查公布的1960年出生仍健在的人口数量竟然比八十年代初那次公布的1960年的出生人口数据还多出一截。也就是说,这两次公布的有关人口数据显示,从1960年到2000年经过了40年的时间,1960年出生的人口数量不仅没有减少,到了2000年普查数据表明1960年出生仍健在的人口反而还多出了一截。这不就明显闹出了大笑话嘛。这就表明,八十年代初那次公布的人口数据对那三年及附近几年的人口数据进行了人为的故意调整,那么,基于这个伪造数据之上而制造的所谓饿死3000万的谎言自然不足为信,只能破产了。

根据总的人口统计数据来看,从1949年建国开始到1979年的这30年,总体人口数量从5.4亿余人增长到了9.7亿多人,也就是说增加了约4.3亿多人口。这个增长是相当可观的。

那人口为什么能够大量增加呢?新中国成立后,与过去相比,人们的生育水平当然不会有很大的变化,要使得人口能够大大增加,原因无非就是死人大大减少,这表现在,一是婴儿死亡率逐步降低,二是人口寿命逐渐延长。

但是,如何做到降低婴儿死亡率并延长人口寿命呢?其中一个重要的条件就是医疗卫生水平提高,而中国的人口分布中百分之八十以上人口都在农村,只有在农村的医疗卫生水平提高后,婴儿死亡率才能够降低。而农村医疗水平的提高主要得益于什么呢?当然是合作医疗了。二个重要条件就是人们的生活条件得到改善,营养水平提高,如此才能够延长人口的寿命。而这就表明,毛泽东时代总的生产水平是持续发展的,人们的总的饮食营养水平是有相当的保障的,否则人口的寿命是不可能大幅增加的。

The most acclaimed section in China's 60th National Day Parade was formed by the students from Qinghua University (Tsinghua University) and Military Police.

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